Monday, February 27, 2017

Daily Three 2/27

 Hello,

 I apologize for yesterday's outing. It was one of those days that I didn't love anything but thought there were some leans that would work. It didn't, and La La Land didn't win. I'm sure Moonlight is a phenomenal movie and a worthy winner. Tonight, we are going fight hard to get those units back. The NHL and NCAAB will hopefully get us there.

NHL 
Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5, +165 (10 units wagered, 16.5 units won)

 The Tampa Bay Lightning made a gigantic decision yesterday. Instead of sticking with their veteran tender that took them to the Stanley Cup, GM Steve Yzerman has decided that youngster, Andrei Vasilevskiy will be the man that will stop pucks for the Bolts in the future. Vasilevskiy is a highly touted prospect that has always been expected to do big things in the NHL. He has just always had Bishop in front of him. In the team's first game since the big shakeup, I am expecting Vasilevskiy to get a big confidence boost and shut down Senators team that is playing their third game in four days on the road. The Sens have failed to score more than two goals in a game thus far on their current road trip. This helps Vasilevskiy's case even more. Lastly, the reunion of the vaunted "Triplets" line (Nikita Kucherov, Tyler Johnson, and Ondrej Palat) has really sparked what has been an anemic offense for the most part season. Expect the trio to combine for a few tallies, as the Lightning blow out the Sens in Tampa.

NCAAB
West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears Pick Em' (10 units wagered, 9 units won)

 I've been wrong about Baylor so many times that eventually I have to get it right. Everything must regress back to the mean. Baylor has had some tough losses the past couple of weeks, and I think they are ready to turn it around. In the previous game between these two teams a month ago, West Virginia was able to control the tempo of the game by causing turnovers and feeding off of a raucous Morgantown crowd. Tonight, the Bears should be able to control the ball and slow down the game. The energy from the crowd in Waco will definitely help them out too. Take the Bears as our fortunes with this squad should change for the better.

Georgia Southern Eagles at Arkansas Little Rock Trojans -3 (10 units wagered, 9 units won)

 I don't know much about either of these schools. I do know that the Trojans upset Purdue in the big dance last year. Then, their coach got hired by UNLV, only to leave the school after a week, so he could be the new coach at Texas Tech. Weird stuff. Anyway, the reason I am going after this game is because it makes absolutely no sense. Georgia Southern is currently tied for second in the Sun Belt Conference with a 11-5 conference record and an 18-11 record overall. Arkansas Little Rock is an awful 4-11 in conference and 13-15 overall. The Eagles are currently rated 172 in the Kenpom, while the Trojans are at 240. Lastly, the Eagles are receiving close to 80% of ATS bets so far on this game. Despite all of this, the Trojans are currently 3 point favorites, and they opened up as 1 point favorites. So, even though the Trojans have all of this going against them, they keep giving up points to the Eagles. This is clearly a situation where Vegas knows something that the general populace does not. I am not going to fall for their trap. I am going with the Trojans here, as we should be the few that prosper on the result of this game.

Yesterday: 0-3
Overall: 80-73-6 (+85 Units)
February: 36-42-2 (-39 units)
20 Unit Bets 2-0


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