Hello,
We went 2-1 yesterday. It would make sense that the Caps in the playoffs would be the team to let us down. They won the game last night, so all is well. We are going down a similar road tonight as yesterday, so let's get started.
MLB
Milwaukee Brewers +110 (10 units wagered, 11 units won) at Cincinnati Reds
Time: 7:10 EST TV: Fox Sports Wisconsin I am guessing
We went with the Brew Crew yesterday, and it worked out well. We are going to do it again, although for a different reason today. The Reds opened up as -140 favorites on the money line. They have received 66% of money line bets, yet they have gone all the way down to -115. The sharps are all over the Brewers who have been killing the ball thus far this season. I would not expect to change against Scott Feldman in baseball's friendliest park for hitters. While you are enjoying some brews to kick off your weekend, root on the Brew Crew as they go for their fourth straight win.
NHL
New York Rangers +130 (10 units wagered, 13 units won) at Montreal Canadiens
Time: 7 EST TV: NBCSN
We have the same thing here as the Brewers game. 66% of money line bets are on the Canadiens, yet they have moved from -160 to -150. Sharps are on the Rangers and for good reason. The Rangers finished one point behind the Canadiens this season, and they played in the much harder Metropolitan Division. The Rangers are the better team, and I will not be surprised if they take a 2-0 lead with them back to New York.
Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Even, Regulation Time (10 units wagered, 10 units won)
We are 1-1 with our little Regulation Time experiment, and we will go back to it tonight. Something that has really caught my eye on Wednesday night was how fast this Penguins team is. Their speed is what took them to the title last year, but it appeared that this season, they may have slowed down a little bit. That was not the case on Wednesday, as they looked like the same team that took down the rest of the NHL last spring. I think the Blue Jackets will be able to slow them down a little bit with their brand of physicality in Columbus but playing in Pittsburgh is totally different. Expect the crowd to get the Pens going and take this thing to Columbus with a 2-0 lead.
Yesterday: 2-1
Overall: 116-108-7 (+84 units)
Friday, April 14, 2017
Thursday, April 13, 2017
Daily Three 4/13
Hello,
Yesterday was not the best day to come out of hiatus, but I am hopeful. The Wild should have won that game, but Jake Allen, who was a sieve in January, has all of a sudden become a brick wall. The Senators held the Bruins to zero shots in the second period but had their own issues scoring. It isn't all bad, the Sharks made a nice comeback and salvaged our night. Anyway, I know tonight will be better, so, let's do it.
MLB
Milwaukee Brewers -110 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) at Cincinnati Reds
Time: 7:10 EST TV: I'm guessing Fox Sports Wisconsin
Bronson Arroyo made his first Major League appearance since 2014 last Saturday. He gave up 6 runs in 4 innings. Tonight, he is going up against a hot Brewers team that just swept the Blue Jays in Toronto. He will also be pitching in Great American Ballpark, the most hitter friendly park in baseball. I think the Brewers are a good call.
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals -1.5, +140 (10 units wagered, 14 units won)
Time: 7 EST TV: USA
Where did you think I was going to here? The storyline is old, the Caps are trying to exorcise some demons and win their first Stanley Cup, let alone get past the Second Round for the first time since 1998. I really do think this is the year for Ovi and the boys. Their first opponent is very similar to the first Ovi-led "Young Guns" in 2008. Led by Auston Matthews, the Leafs have made incredible strides and are way ahead of schedule in their rebuilding project. Although this team will be making noise in the Eastern Conference for years to come, I think they will be taking a back seat to the Caps this year. This Caps team will be just too much for the youngsters from Ontario. So, let's give the Leafs a goal and a half, it shouldn't make a difference tonight.
Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Even, Regulation Time (10 units wagered, 10 units won)
Time: 10:30 TV: NBCSN
I know the regulation wager did not work out last night, but the Wild seriously outplayed the Blues. Jake Allen was just unbeatable last night. We move on and will go with the Ducks tonight. The Ducks owned the Flames during the regular season series, winning 4 of 5 their meetings, including two wins over the past two weeks. This series will be fun as the recent meetings got very heated and involved many fisticuffs. Anyway, I know the regular season is a different beast, but the Ducks match up very well with this team, and I think it will show tonight in Anaheim. Let's go with the Ducks to win this one without needing extra time.
Yesterday: 1-2
Overall: 114-107-7 (+74 Units)
Yesterday was not the best day to come out of hiatus, but I am hopeful. The Wild should have won that game, but Jake Allen, who was a sieve in January, has all of a sudden become a brick wall. The Senators held the Bruins to zero shots in the second period but had their own issues scoring. It isn't all bad, the Sharks made a nice comeback and salvaged our night. Anyway, I know tonight will be better, so, let's do it.
MLB
Milwaukee Brewers -110 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) at Cincinnati Reds
Time: 7:10 EST TV: I'm guessing Fox Sports Wisconsin
Bronson Arroyo made his first Major League appearance since 2014 last Saturday. He gave up 6 runs in 4 innings. Tonight, he is going up against a hot Brewers team that just swept the Blue Jays in Toronto. He will also be pitching in Great American Ballpark, the most hitter friendly park in baseball. I think the Brewers are a good call.
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals -1.5, +140 (10 units wagered, 14 units won)
Time: 7 EST TV: USA
Where did you think I was going to here? The storyline is old, the Caps are trying to exorcise some demons and win their first Stanley Cup, let alone get past the Second Round for the first time since 1998. I really do think this is the year for Ovi and the boys. Their first opponent is very similar to the first Ovi-led "Young Guns" in 2008. Led by Auston Matthews, the Leafs have made incredible strides and are way ahead of schedule in their rebuilding project. Although this team will be making noise in the Eastern Conference for years to come, I think they will be taking a back seat to the Caps this year. This Caps team will be just too much for the youngsters from Ontario. So, let's give the Leafs a goal and a half, it shouldn't make a difference tonight.
Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks Even, Regulation Time (10 units wagered, 10 units won)
Time: 10:30 TV: NBCSN
I know the regulation wager did not work out last night, but the Wild seriously outplayed the Blues. Jake Allen was just unbeatable last night. We move on and will go with the Ducks tonight. The Ducks owned the Flames during the regular season series, winning 4 of 5 their meetings, including two wins over the past two weeks. This series will be fun as the recent meetings got very heated and involved many fisticuffs. Anyway, I know the regular season is a different beast, but the Ducks match up very well with this team, and I think it will show tonight in Anaheim. Let's go with the Ducks to win this one without needing extra time.
Yesterday: 1-2
Overall: 114-107-7 (+74 Units)
Wednesday, April 12, 2017
Daily Three 4/12
Hello,
Alright, the hiatus is over. My favorite time of the year is here as the NHL playoffs start tonight. Tonight will kick off an action-packed couple of months with baseball getting going, the UEFA Champions league revving up, and the NBA playoffs starting on Saturday. The focus, today, will be on the NHL, so let's get to it.
NHL
Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators +115 (10 units wagered, 11.5 units won)
Time: 7 EST TV: NHL Network
We start tonight in the Canada's capitol, as the Bruins and Senators return to the postseason after their absence from last year's edition. Many people are jumping on the Bruins in this series as they have "veteran leadership" and a really strong scoring line in Patrice Bergeron, David Backes, and Brad Marchand. However, I am not sold on the Bruins, especially in Ottawa. First, the Bruins are incredibly banged up on their blue line. Power play stud, Torrey Krug, will not play tonight, and Zdeno Chara's right-hand man, Brando Carlo, will also be sitting out with an upper body injury. Things have gotten so dire for the Bruins, they were forced to sign top prospect, Charlie McAvoy, to an entry-league contract, so he could suit up tonight. By signing this contract, the Bruins essentially given up a year of team control over McAvoy. It seems like a risky endeavor for a team that doesn't have a great chance to go the distance. Also, at least in Ottawa, the aforementioned "Killer B's" line will be matched with Erik Karlsson every time they are on the ice. Karlsson is a two-time Norris trophy winner (best defenseman) and is still one of the more under-appreciated players in the NHL. If Karlsson can shut down this line consistently over the first two games in Ottawa, there is a good chance, Marchand loses his head and takes unneccesarry penalties that will severely hurt his team. Until the Bruins get their blue line situated, I think the Sens are in good position to head into Boston with a 2-0 lead. Trust the best defenseman in hockey to shut down the Bruins and help the Sens take a 1-0 lead in the series.
St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild +105, regulation time (9.5 units wagered, 10 units won)
Time: 9:30 EST TV: NBCSN
First, let me clarify the odds. The Wild must win the game in regulation. If they get the win in overtime, it would count as a loss. I am taking this chance, because the Wild are currently -170 on the money line. Vegas thinks they have a very good shot at winning this game. So, let's just a wager about 7.5 units less and take something that Vegas expects to happen. Anyway, the interesting storyline coming into this series is St. Louis Blues coach, Mike Yeo, returning to Minnesota to coach against the team that fired him after last season. Yeo was able to turn things around in Minnesota, as he made the playoffs consistently over his tenure. However, he was never able to get over the proverbial hump, as the Wild were never able to get past the second round, usually falling to the Blackhawks. Also, the team strayed towards protecting their net and could never get it going offensively. Thus, the Wild brought Bruce Boudreau to use his run n' gun system, and it really got all four lines scoring for the Wild. The Blues have picked things up over the past month, but the Wild are still a significantly better team. The Blues' own GM even knows this as he traded his best defenseman at the trade deadline for a decent haul, instead of making a run for the Cup. Give props to the Blues for continuing to fight, but their stay in the playoffs should be short. Go with the Wild to win tonight in 60 minutes.
San Jose Sharks +150 (10 units wagered, 15 units won) at Edmonton Oilers
Time: 10 EST TV: USA
Welcome to the big time Connor McDavid. All eyes will be on Mr. McDavid tonight as he plays in his first playoff game along with many other Oilers, who as a franchise have not made the playoffs in 11 years (previously the longest drought in the NHL). Although I imagine Connor will win many playoff games with this franchise, he will not win his first one tonight. I am going to jump on the Sharks, as I see some value with their high money line total. After years of being labeled chokers, San Jose finally broke through last year and made the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time in franchise history. Although they ended up losing in 6, it set the tone for this franchise that they can take it to the next level. They are dealing with a couple of injuries to key cogs Joe Thornton and Logan Couture, who are both game time decisions tonight. However, I cannot imagine that they would not suit up tonight. Once, it is announced that they will play, I am guessing this line falls 20 or so points. So, I am going to jump on it now and hope that experience will trump youth in the first game of this series.
Last Monday: 0-3
Overall: 113-105-7 (+78.5 units)
Alright, the hiatus is over. My favorite time of the year is here as the NHL playoffs start tonight. Tonight will kick off an action-packed couple of months with baseball getting going, the UEFA Champions league revving up, and the NBA playoffs starting on Saturday. The focus, today, will be on the NHL, so let's get to it.
NHL
Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators +115 (10 units wagered, 11.5 units won)
Time: 7 EST TV: NHL Network
We start tonight in the Canada's capitol, as the Bruins and Senators return to the postseason after their absence from last year's edition. Many people are jumping on the Bruins in this series as they have "veteran leadership" and a really strong scoring line in Patrice Bergeron, David Backes, and Brad Marchand. However, I am not sold on the Bruins, especially in Ottawa. First, the Bruins are incredibly banged up on their blue line. Power play stud, Torrey Krug, will not play tonight, and Zdeno Chara's right-hand man, Brando Carlo, will also be sitting out with an upper body injury. Things have gotten so dire for the Bruins, they were forced to sign top prospect, Charlie McAvoy, to an entry-league contract, so he could suit up tonight. By signing this contract, the Bruins essentially given up a year of team control over McAvoy. It seems like a risky endeavor for a team that doesn't have a great chance to go the distance. Also, at least in Ottawa, the aforementioned "Killer B's" line will be matched with Erik Karlsson every time they are on the ice. Karlsson is a two-time Norris trophy winner (best defenseman) and is still one of the more under-appreciated players in the NHL. If Karlsson can shut down this line consistently over the first two games in Ottawa, there is a good chance, Marchand loses his head and takes unneccesarry penalties that will severely hurt his team. Until the Bruins get their blue line situated, I think the Sens are in good position to head into Boston with a 2-0 lead. Trust the best defenseman in hockey to shut down the Bruins and help the Sens take a 1-0 lead in the series.
St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild +105, regulation time (9.5 units wagered, 10 units won)
Time: 9:30 EST TV: NBCSN
First, let me clarify the odds. The Wild must win the game in regulation. If they get the win in overtime, it would count as a loss. I am taking this chance, because the Wild are currently -170 on the money line. Vegas thinks they have a very good shot at winning this game. So, let's just a wager about 7.5 units less and take something that Vegas expects to happen. Anyway, the interesting storyline coming into this series is St. Louis Blues coach, Mike Yeo, returning to Minnesota to coach against the team that fired him after last season. Yeo was able to turn things around in Minnesota, as he made the playoffs consistently over his tenure. However, he was never able to get over the proverbial hump, as the Wild were never able to get past the second round, usually falling to the Blackhawks. Also, the team strayed towards protecting their net and could never get it going offensively. Thus, the Wild brought Bruce Boudreau to use his run n' gun system, and it really got all four lines scoring for the Wild. The Blues have picked things up over the past month, but the Wild are still a significantly better team. The Blues' own GM even knows this as he traded his best defenseman at the trade deadline for a decent haul, instead of making a run for the Cup. Give props to the Blues for continuing to fight, but their stay in the playoffs should be short. Go with the Wild to win tonight in 60 minutes.
San Jose Sharks +150 (10 units wagered, 15 units won) at Edmonton Oilers
Time: 10 EST TV: USA
Welcome to the big time Connor McDavid. All eyes will be on Mr. McDavid tonight as he plays in his first playoff game along with many other Oilers, who as a franchise have not made the playoffs in 11 years (previously the longest drought in the NHL). Although I imagine Connor will win many playoff games with this franchise, he will not win his first one tonight. I am going to jump on the Sharks, as I see some value with their high money line total. After years of being labeled chokers, San Jose finally broke through last year and made the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time in franchise history. Although they ended up losing in 6, it set the tone for this franchise that they can take it to the next level. They are dealing with a couple of injuries to key cogs Joe Thornton and Logan Couture, who are both game time decisions tonight. However, I cannot imagine that they would not suit up tonight. Once, it is announced that they will play, I am guessing this line falls 20 or so points. So, I am going to jump on it now and hope that experience will trump youth in the first game of this series.
Last Monday: 0-3
Overall: 113-105-7 (+78.5 units)
Monday, April 3, 2017
Daily Three 4/3 (National Championship Edition)
Hello,
Again, sorry for my absence over the past week. There was much reflection after another LOTM miss. However, we always must come back stronger. So, I am back tonight, ready to give you a winner. Just picks tonight, but just know I have been backing the Zags the whole tourney. They have the best defense and incredible guard play. UNC is awesome, but I think Joel Berry is fairly hurt, and the Zags can effectively battle UNC's size. It's going to be a classic like last year's thriller, but I think the Zags will finally break through, and Spokane is going to be partying tonight.
MLB
Kansas City Royals -105 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) at Minnesota Twins
Time: 4:05 EST
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim -110 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) at Oakland A's
Time: 10:10 EST
NCAAB
Gonzaga Bulldogs +1.5 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Time: 9:20 EST TV: CBS
Last Blog: 1-2
Overall: 113-102-7 (+111.5 Units)
March: 31-29 (+11.5 Units)
NCAA Tournament: 11-7: (+35 Units)
Again, sorry for my absence over the past week. There was much reflection after another LOTM miss. However, we always must come back stronger. So, I am back tonight, ready to give you a winner. Just picks tonight, but just know I have been backing the Zags the whole tourney. They have the best defense and incredible guard play. UNC is awesome, but I think Joel Berry is fairly hurt, and the Zags can effectively battle UNC's size. It's going to be a classic like last year's thriller, but I think the Zags will finally break through, and Spokane is going to be partying tonight.
MLB
Kansas City Royals -105 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) at Minnesota Twins
Time: 4:05 EST
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim -110 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) at Oakland A's
Time: 10:10 EST
NCAAB
Gonzaga Bulldogs +1.5 (11 units wagered, 10 units won) vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Time: 9:20 EST TV: CBS
Last Blog: 1-2
Overall: 113-102-7 (+111.5 Units)
March: 31-29 (+11.5 Units)
NCAA Tournament: 11-7: (+35 Units)
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