Daily Three 2/21

 Hello,

 I hope everyone enjoyed the day off. Today, we are dropping in on the NHL and college basketball, as the all-star break continues in the NBA. Let's do it.

NHL
Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils -1.5, +240 (10 units wagered, 24 units won)

 The Senators are coming into this game completely underhanded. Tonight, they will be without Mike Hoffman, Mark Stone, and Bobby Ryan. Not only are these three players important parts of top six, but they also use up considerable power play time. The power play units are going to look very different and will probably lack chemistry. Also, the bottom six forwards, as a result of the injuries, are going to contain guys that have been sitting in the press box all year as healthy scratches or inexperienced youngsters that have been riding the bus in the AHL all year. The Sens are really going to struggle to put pucks in the net against a Devils team that normally strives at the Prudential Center. The only concern will be if the Devils can score enough. Fortunately, Taylor Hall should be able to create ample opportunities for his team, and I think the Devils should score about three or four goals tonight. Go with the Devils tonight and attack the great value that is being offered.

NCAAB
Clemson Tigers +1.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won) at Virginia Tech Hokies
Davidson Wildcats -1.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won) at Richmond Spiders

 THIS IS NOT A PARLAY. I REPEAT, THIS IS NOT A PARLAY. This is a first for the blog, as I am going to write-up two games together as the betting trends are just remarkably similar. Here, we got two road teams that the public does not have much faith in. The Tigers are getting a mere 22% of ATS bets, while the Wildcats are only receiving 33% of ATS bets. What does the public see here? I mean the Tigers and Wildcats are rated slightly ahead of their opponents in the Kenpom. These two teams also seriously challenged themselves in the non conference slate as they both rank in the top 100 in NCSOS. The Hokies and Spiders are outside of the top 150 in the same category. Despite this, the public is lured in by the low number spread, and the home court advantage that the Hokies and Spiders have. The public is always attracted to home court advantage and will blindly throw out other factors if they see such a low number included with the home team. In this case, Vegas really has the public digging for fool's gold. Although the disparity in betting percentages is fairly significant, the lines have both gone towards the road teams. The Tigers opened up as 2.5 point dogs but have now moved to 1.5 and look like they may even move down another half point. The Wildcats started off as underdogs and are now 1.5 point favorites. See, here at the Daily Three, we start trends. We don't follow them. Tonight, we will watch the Tigers and Wildcats rip the money out of the public's pockets, and then nicely hand deliver it to us in straight, hard cash. Be a leader, not a follower, and go with the cat family tonight in college hoops (after all, it is Big Cat week).

 Yesterday: 0-0
 Overall: 71-61-6 (+115 units)
 February: 27-31-2 (-11 Units)
 20 Unit Bets: 1-0