Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Daily Three 2/7

 Hello,

 Man, this can be a brutal business sometimes. I thought we were headed to a nice 3-0 night, and then Lebron pulled off the incredible. All is good though, we righted the ship last night at 2-1. We will try to build on that tonight with NHL games and a college basketball showdown in Evanston.

NCAAB
Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern Wildcats -5.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won)

 This spread is actually mind-boggling. Like, actually I am very confused. Northwestern is a very good basketball team and is on the verge of making their first NCAA tournament in school history (they are the last Power 6 conference school to have never made the Big Dance). Despite Northwestern's successes so far this year, I am more shocked due to how bad the Illini are. Illinois are currently second to last in the Big Ten, and they are 0-5 in conference road games. Illinois has been a chaotic program under John Groce's watch, and you really have to feel bad for a guy like Malcolm Hill who has been the lone bright spot on this team. Hill won't be enough tonight in Evanston, as the Wildcats continue to add to their pretty solid resume with a big intrastate win.

NHL
Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals -1.5, +150 (units wagered 10, 15 units won)

 This is just a great opportunity to cash in with some value. It is obvious, the Washington Capitals are a better hockey team than the Carolina Hurricanes. It is also well-known that the Caps barely lose on their home-ice. In their last seven home games, the Caps have won outscored opponents by an insane 37-6 margin. One of those game seven games was against this same Hurricanes team. DC won 6-1 that night with starting goalie, Cam Ward, in net for the Canes. Tonight, Carolina will send out backup, Eddie Lack. This could get really ugly. Take the Caps here, as this a great opportunity to eliminate juice and win more than you wagered.

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets Over 5.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won)

 We have found the Winnipeg Jets in this spot before, and we will attack it again. The Jets are just sieves. They have serious issues on their blue line, and their goaltending has just been atrocious. Despite their defensive issues, their top two lines can really put the puck in the net. The Ehlers-Little-Laine line has been incredibly productive over the past couple of weeks. Being at home tonight will greatly benefit them as the coach, Paul Maurice, will be able to find aways to get them against less defensively-capable lines on Minnesota. In hockey, the road team changes first, so the home team has a great advantage as they can typically matchup whatever lines they want to in any situation after a whistle. This edge will definitely give the Jets more opportunities to score against a fairly defensively sound Wild team. Although the Wild have been pretty good in their own end, first half hero, Devan Dubnyk has been playing at nowhere close to the level that he playing at in the first three months of the season. His monthly GAA went above 2 for the first time and in 2 starts so far this month, he has 4.00 GAA and a save percentage below .900. As I'm sure you can tell, that is not very good. I think both teams will have no issues lighting the lamp tonight and will easily get us over the 5.5 goal threshold.

Yesterday: 2-1
Overall: 52-39-5 (+116.3 units)
February: 8-9-1 (-10.3 units)


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