Daily Three 3/7

 Hello,

 Note to self: When you say something is the surest thing in sports, it is most likely not the surest thing in sports. Yes, not only did the Caps fail to cover the spread, but they also lost the game to the Stars. It happened, and we must move on. Four automatic bids will be handed out today. We are going to look at three of them. The one game I will not pick includes the 11-23 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers. As I am sure you can guess, if they get a win tonight, they will be the worst team to ever make the tournament. No team has ever lost more than 20 games, and it made it to the Big Dance. It is also worth noting that 3 of their 11 wins have come over the past few days in the Horizon League Tournament. So, if you truly love watching Cinderella, the Panthers may be the biggest one ever. Anyway, let's get to the other big games tonight.

NCAAB
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash at Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers -5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won)
Time: 7 PM EST TV: ESPN2

 I am not going to lie to you. I don't know a single thing about these two teams. The Mount are ranked 215 in the Kenpom, and the Red Flash are ranked 254. Also, this game will be played at the Mountaineers' home court. Really, I am going with the Mount, because their lacrosse program was nice enough to express interest in me when I was in high school. It is always nice to feel wanted, so I am very grateful for schools that expressed interest. If that does not make you want to go with the Mount tonight, then this isn't the pick for you.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits -2.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won) vs Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks
Time: 7 PM EST TV: ESPN2

 The Mavericks are rated a little higher in the Kenpom, and the two teams split both of their meetings this season. However, it is interesting that the Jackrabbits are the favorites in this game and are getting a push from the sharps. The Mavs have received 55% of the ATS bets so far. Still, the Jackrabbits have given up a point and moved from -1.5 points to -2.5 points. I am going to guess it has to do with the fact that the Jackrabbits are the defending champions, and they gave Maryland a serious fight in last year's NCAA tournament. I'm going hop along with the Jackrabbits tonight.

St. Mary's Gaels +4.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won) vs Gonzaga Bulldogs
Time: 9 EST TV: ESPN

 The WCC Final is always one of the more anticipated games in the early part of Conference Championship Week. In this year's version, we have the two best teams in the conference go head-to-head. The Bulldogs won the two previous meetings between these team pretty handedly by double digits. The Bulldogs have also only lost one game this season. It seems odd that I would go with the Gaels, but that is exactly what I am going to do. As one could imagine with a one loss team, the public is all over Gonzaga. They are currently getting 75% of all ATS bets. Despite the public love for the Bulldogs, they have dropped two points from -6.5 to -4.5. That is a significant dip in the spread, and it shows that the sharps love the Gaels tonight. They are not alone. The Zags have seemed a bit lackadaisical over the past two weeks, and I think this is the Gaels' shot to knock off their arch rivals. The Gaels are going to cover this spread, and then go to the book themselves to collect your winnings (game is being played in Vegas).

Yesterday: 0-2-1
Overall: 91-85-7 (+79.5 Units)
March: 9-11 (-20.5 Units)