Saturday, February 4, 2017

Daily Three 2/4

 Hello,

 So yeah, it happened again. Western Michigan was up 18 at one point yesterday in their game against Central Michigan and managed to lose by 4. It is what it is. Bad luck happens, and I am sure we will benefit from something today that is rather unfair for another better. This is the game, and we are just trying to beat it. In a month of writing this blog, we had our first 0-3 day. I'm happy to say it took a pretty long time, and we will look to have it never happen again. Only three picks today, but all college basketball on this jam-packed saturday.
NCAAB
Purdue Boilermakers -1 (10 units wagered, 9 units won) at Maryland Terrapins

The Maryland Terrapins are 20-2. Normally when a Big 10 team is 20-2, we praise its talents and list it as a National Title contender. The Turtles are the mere exception. Despite winning basketball games, advanced metrics are not very impressed with this team. They are currently ranked 38 in the Kenpom. Teams that are ranked above them: 13-8 Clemson, 13-9 Wake Forest, 13-9 Tennessee, 14-8 Marquette. The Illinois State Redbirds are a Missouri Valley team with a worse record than the Terps and are only placed one spot below Maryland. This team has really benefited in close games (ranked 17 in luck according to Kenpom), and it must be noted how this team is able to pull through in these situations. However, this incredible run of winning close games has to end at some point. Toady, they get their first real challenge in Big Ten play against Purdue, who despite having a worse record is 26 slots ahead of Maryland in Kenpom. I think the luck runs out today, and the Boilermakers get a big win on the road.

Seton Hall Pirates at Georgetown Hoyas -2.5 (10 units wagered, 9 units won)

 These two teams are literally side by side in the Kenpom ratings. There are really only two things separating these two teams today going into their matchup: home court advantage and the fact that the Hoyas are scorching hot, while the Pirates are Arctic freezing. The Hoyas, who got off to a rough stet in conference, have won their last three games including big wins against Creighton and Butler (on the road). The Pirates have lost 5 of their last 6 and are currently looking for answers to their serious issues. I think the will continue to search after today's game as G'town's two headed monster, LJ Peak and Rodney Pryor take care of business today at the Phone Booth.

Utah Utes -3 (10 units wagered, 9 units won) at Stanford Cardinal

 I am simply going to use the transitive property here. Earlier this season, the Utes defeated the Colorado Buffaloes by double digits. On Thursday, the Buffaloes defeated the Cardinal by 7 in Palo Alto. From both of these results, we can conclude that the Utes should beat the Cardinal pretty handedly. If we need some advanced metrics to convince you, Utah is currently 40 in the Kenpom, while Stanford is 112. Don't overthink it, just take Utah in this game.

Yesterday: 0-3
Overall: 49-34-4 (+140 units)
February: 5-4 (+14 units)


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